The Cage :: Golden Gophers -4

The Minnesota Golden Gophers host the Miami of Ohio Redhawks in an afternoon battle on Saturday.  The line started at most respected casinos at -3, and has moved to -4 or even -5.

According to the data at pregame.com, the public is betting this one 50-50.  The money line is attractive to many, with Redhawks getting around +170.  Over 80% of the public is on this money line for that nice price.

Looks like alot of people are teasing the Gophers, as they seemed to be tied up in exotics.  If you’re getting 4 pts, you’re picking the Gophers to win at home.  Not a bad play.

This balances out to a dead even 50-50 spread public play.  It is hard to know which Gopher team shows up.  Week 1 was a great battle versus USC on the road, while Week 2 was a disappointing loss to a New Mexico State team that has been really struggling versus Big Ten teams.

People thought the NMSU team was the “easy game”, and the Gophers couldn’t pull it off.  Gophers need this game before they hit the Big Ten Schedule.

I believe the line is dead on.  We’re looking at a field goal type of game here, and low scoring.  I would stay away from this line.  The money line for Miami Ohio is great value, but the best play is going to be to tease the Gophers in an exotic.

The play is to tease it. 

 

 

 

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